Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 16.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.