CAF Champions League | Final | 2nd Leg
May 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
New Suez Stadium
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aholou (20'), Miguel Azevedo Cardoso (21'), Ogbelu (86'), Ben Hmida (90+5'), Ben Hmida (90+5')
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Al Ahly 1-0 Esperance Tunis
Al Ahly and Esperance Tunis have been tough to crack at the defensive end of the pitch and we expect another cagey affair at the Cairo International Stadium. However, playing on home turf should give the Koller's men a 12th-man advantage and we see them coming away with all three points with their home supporters cheering them on.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 61.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Esperance Tunis had a probability of 13.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Esperance Tunis win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.
| Result |
| Al Ahly | Draw | Esperance Tunis |
61.96% ( 0.01) | 24.08% ( 0.02) | 13.96% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.62% ( -0.1) |
| 39.59% ( -0.1) | 60.41% ( 0.1) |
| 19.45% ( -0.08) | 80.55% ( 0.07) |
| 80.62% ( -0.04) | 19.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.83% ( -0.06) | 51.17% ( 0.05) |
| 46.66% ( -0.11) | 53.34% ( 0.11) |
