SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Urawa Red Diamonds had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Al Ahly |
36.65% ( -0.03) | 25.81% ( -0.01) | 37.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( 0.05) | 49.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( 0.04) | 71.4% ( -0.05) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0) | 26.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.75% ( 0) | 61.25% ( -0.01) |
| Al Ahly Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( 0.05) | 25.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.42% ( 0.07) | 60.58% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Al Ahly |
| 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.54% |
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