We expect a meeting between the African champions and the winners of the Saudi Pro League to produce a close-fought contest in Friday's second-round tie.
However, with Al Ittihad able to call upon the experience and talent of Fabinho, Kante and Benzema, we think that they will claim a narrow victory to set up a semi-final clash with Fluminense.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
