CAF Champions League | Second Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Sep 15, 2024 at 1pm UK
Nyayo National Stadium
Morrison (70')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coverage of the CAF Champions League Second Preliminary Round clash between Gor Mahia and Al Ahly.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Gor Mahia had a probability of 9.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.06%) and 0-3 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Gor Mahia win it was 1-0 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
| Result |
| Gor Mahia | Draw | Al Ahly |
9.68% ( -0.33) | 19.18% ( -0.04) | 71.13% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 38.19% ( -1) |
| 47.92% ( -0.68) | 52.08% ( 0.68) |
| 26.19% ( -0.59) | 73.81% ( 0.59) |
| 44.11% ( -1.1) | 55.88% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.59% ( -0.65) | 88.4% ( 0.65) |
| 86.58% ( -0.1) | 13.42% ( 0.1) |
