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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 29, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
DK

Bayern
5 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

Lewandowski (12' pen., 27'), Gnabry (68'), Sane (74'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (87')
Hernandez (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tymchyk (38')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 8.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.86%) and 3-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.5%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawDynamo Kiev
68.79%23.11%8.1%
Both teams to score 25.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38%67.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32%85.68%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33%19.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35%51.64%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.31%68.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.51%94.48%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 68.78%
    Dynamo Kiev 8.1%
    Draw 23.1%
Bayern MunichDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 21.96%
2-0 @ 17.86%
3-0 @ 9.68%
2-1 @ 6.71%
4-0 @ 3.94%
3-1 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 68.78%
0-0 @ 13.5%
1-1 @ 8.25%
2-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.1%
0-1 @ 5.07%
1-2 @ 1.55%
0-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 8.1%

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