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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Olimpisky National Sports Complex

Dynamo Kiev
4 - 0
Desna

Buyalskyy (32', 57'), Tsygankov (37' pen.), Zaviyskiy (78' og.)
Buyalskyy (35'), Shaparenko (55'), Zabarnyi (84'), Tymchyk (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Dombrovskyi (4'), Zaviyskiy (45+2')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 17.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawDesna Chernihiv
58.41%24.16%17.43%
Both teams to score 44.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34%55.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19%76.82%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1%18.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62%50.39%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.35%45.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.55%81.45%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 58.4%
    Desna Chernihiv 17.43%
    Draw 24.16%
Dynamo KievDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 14.37%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.39%
3-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 5.22%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 8.63%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.77%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 17.43%

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