Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Desna Chernihiv win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
