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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
BL

RB Leipzig
1 - 4
Bayern

Laimer (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lewandowski (12' pen.), Musiala (47'), Sane (54'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
24.32%22.2%53.48%
Both teams to score 60.42%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.98%39.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.66%61.34%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79%29.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84%65.16%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35%14.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21%42.79%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 24.32%
    Bayern Munich 53.48%
    Draw 22.19%
RB LeipzigDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.22%
1-0 @ 5.27%
2-0 @ 3.24%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 24.32%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.28%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-1 @ 8.22%
0-2 @ 7.89%
1-3 @ 6.22%
0-3 @ 5.05%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.99%
0-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.84%
1-5 @ 1.15%
0-5 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.48%

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