Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
