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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
BL

Benfica
0 - 4
Bayern


Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Benfica win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
29.88%21.46%48.66%
Both teams to score 68.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.3%30.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.97%52.03%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05%53.95%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.74%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.96%40.04%
Score Analysis
    Benfica 29.88%
    Bayern Munich 48.66%
    Draw 21.46%
BenficaDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 6.84%
1-0 @ 4.35%
3-2 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 3.55%
2-0 @ 3.38%
3-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.39%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.88%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 6.91%
0-0 @ 2.8%
3-3 @ 2.41%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.89%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-2 @ 5.71%
0-1 @ 5.66%
2-3 @ 4.66%
0-3 @ 3.85%
1-4 @ 3.03%
2-4 @ 2.35%
0-4 @ 1.95%
1-5 @ 1.22%
3-4 @ 1.22%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.66%

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