Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 18.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
