Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
