SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Viking FK | 16 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | Bodo/Glimt | 14 | 12 | 25 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 14 | 6 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 12 | -7 | 13 |
| 15 | Jerv | 14 | -15 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 12 | -19 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 80.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jerv |
80.36% ( 0.31) | 12.24% ( -0.12) | 7.4% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.07% ( -0.14) | 26.93% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.18) | 47.4% ( 0.18) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.86% ( 0.03) | 5.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.61% ( 0.07) | 20.39% ( -0.07) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.34% ( -0.58) | 43.66% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.16% ( -0.48) | 79.84% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 3.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 1.77% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.46% Total : 80.36% | 1-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 12.24% | 1-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 7.4% |
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