Neither side is likely to give too much away in the first leg of this tie, so it could be a close-fought affair at Park Hall. Nonetheless, the visitors possess enough attacking threat to strike at least once - setting themselves up well for the return in Belfast next Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Linfield
45.46% ( 0.01)	23.77% ( 0.01)	30.77% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.34% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.47% (

-0.03)

41.52% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

-0.03)

63.92% (

0.03)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

-0.01)

18.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25% (

-0.02)

49.74% (

0.02)

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

-0.03)

25.94% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.05% (

-0.03)

60.95% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 45.46%

Linfield 30.77%

Draw 23.77%

The New Saints	Draw	Linfield
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.77%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.77%