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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Kopavogsvollur
SR

Breidablik
2 - 1
Shamrock

Svanthorsson (16'), Gunnlaugsson (57')
Karl Einarsson (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Burke (65' pen.)

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League

We said: Breidablik 1-1 Shamrock Rovers (Breidablik to win 2-1 on aggregate)

After coming up short in the first leg, we expect Shamrock Rovers to produce a battling performance in Iceland, but with just two wins from their last 14 European away games, we think that they will be held to a draw, which would secure Breidablik a place in the second qualifying round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for Breidablik had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Breidablik win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
BreidablikDrawShamrock Rovers
29.51% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.8% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 45.68% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88%69.11% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)29.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.0039999999999978 0)65.45% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.11%
Score Analysis
    Breidablik 29.51%
    Shamrock Rovers 45.68%
    Draw 24.8%
BreidablikDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.51%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.99% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Buducnost 0-5 Breidablik
Friday, June 30 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Tre Penne 1-7 Breidablik
Tuesday, June 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Breidablik
Thursday, August 11 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Breidablik 1-3 Istanbul
Thursday, August 4 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Buducnost 2-1 Breidablik
Thursday, July 28 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Shamrock 0-1 Breidablik
Tuesday, July 11 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Drogheda 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, July 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Shamrock
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, June 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 Shamrock
Friday, June 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 4-0 UCD
Friday, June 9 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier


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