SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
28.22% ( 0.21) | 26.47% ( 0.13) | 45.3% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( -0.41) | 54.37% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( -0.34) | 75.75% ( 0.33) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( -0.05) | 34.3% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0.05) | 71% ( 0.05) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.08% ( -0.34) | 23.92% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.86% ( -0.49) | 58.14% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.22% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.3% |
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