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Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 15, 2020 at 6pm UK
NSK Olimpijs'kyj
AA

Dynamo Kiev
2 - 0
AZ

Rodrigues (49'), Shaparenko (86')
Buyalskyy (15'), Rodrigues (19'), Kedziora (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stengs (33'), Clasie (83'), Idrissi (85')
Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between Dynamo Kiev and AZ Alkmaar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawAZ Alkmaar
33.46%25.52%41.03%
Both teams to score 55.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53%48.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4%70.6%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8%63.2%
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57%23.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56%57.44%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 33.46%
    AZ Alkmaar 41.03%
    Draw 25.51%
Dynamo KievDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.33%
2-1 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 2.42%
3-0 @ 2.29%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.48%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 9.4%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.82%
1-3 @ 4.24%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.73%
1-4 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.03%


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