Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.