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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jul 16, 2020 at 5pm UK
Olimpisky National Sports Complex

Dynamo Kiev
3 - 1
Luhansk

Tsygankov (14', 34'), Sydorchuk (15')
Sydorchuk (41'), de Pena (59')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gromov (2')
Cheberko (11'), Vernydub (20'), Yurchenko (60'), Lunyov (87'), Abu Hanna (90+4')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Dynamo Kiev and Zorya Luhansk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Dynamo KievDrawZorya Luhansk
41.71%27.44%30.84%
Both teams to score 48.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.02%56.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.12%77.87%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.07%26.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75%62.25%
Zorya Luhansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.3%33.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.65%70.35%
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Kiev 41.7%
    Zorya Luhansk 30.84%
    Draw 27.44%
Dynamo KievDrawZorya Luhansk
1-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.7%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.07%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 5.37%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.84%


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