Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.