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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 18, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadion FK Krasnodar

Krasnodar
2 - 0
Arsenal Tula

Petrov (35'), Berg (66')
Utkin (27'), Petrov (62'), Berg (64'), Olsson (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Denisov (16'), Bauer (37'), Causic (54')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Arsenal Tula.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.41%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC KrasnodarDrawArsenal Tula
50.41%25.86%23.74%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.96%55.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.7%76.31%
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12%21.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87%55.13%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.51%38.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76%75.24%
Score Analysis
    FC Krasnodar 50.4%
    Arsenal Tula 23.74%
    Draw 25.85%
FC KrasnodarDrawArsenal Tula
1-0 @ 12.79%
2-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.79%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.4%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.42%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.04%
1-2 @ 5.83%
0-2 @ 3.84%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.74%


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