Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.