Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Red Bull Salzburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Red Bull Salzburg.
Result | ||
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | FC Twente |
47.77% ( 0.01) | 22.16% | 30.08% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 65.86% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.91% ( -0.02) | 34.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.03% ( -0.02) | 55.97% ( 0.01) |
Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( -0.01) | 14.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.93% ( -0.01) | 43.07% ( -0) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% ( -0.02) | 22.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.64% ( -0.03) | 56.36% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 47.77% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.08% |
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