Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Celtic |
51.31% ( 0.06) | 22.44% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 61.67% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.71% ( -0) | 38.29% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.43% ( -0) | 60.57% ( 0) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.88% ( 0.02) | 15.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.32% ( 0.04) | 43.68% ( -0.04) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.65% ( -0.04) | 27.35% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.19% ( -0.05) | 62.81% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Celtic |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 51.31% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% 3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.26% |
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