SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
69.61% ( 0.04) | 17.47% ( -0.03) | 12.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.12% ( 0.13) | 35.88% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.03% ( 0.14) | 57.97% ( -0.14) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.73% ( 0.05) | 9.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.67% ( 0.11) | 31.33% ( -0.1) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% ( 0.07) | 39.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.67% ( 0.06) | 76.32% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 69.61% | 1-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.47% | 1-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 12.92% |
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