SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
41.54% ( -0.28) | 23.89% ( 0.52) | 34.57% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.44% ( -2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.27% ( -2.59) | 40.73% ( 2.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.88% ( -2.7) | 63.12% ( 2.7) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.13% ( -1.2) | 19.87% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.02% ( -1.98) | 51.98% ( 1.98) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( -1.32) | 23.33% ( 1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( -1.97) | 57.28% ( 1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.6)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 41.54% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.53)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.53)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.57% |
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