SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
25.81% ( -0.52) | 22.63% ( 0.35) | 51.56% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( -2.15) | 39.59% ( 2.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( -2.28) | 61.94% ( 2.28) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( -1.52) | 28.37% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( -1.96) | 64.11% ( 1.95) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( -0.71) | 15.5% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.6% ( -1.35) | 44.39% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.32)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.53% Total : 25.81% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.43)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.61)0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.79% Total : 51.56% |
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