Zalgiris
3 - 1
Linfield

(FK Zalgiris win 5-2 on aggregate)

Videmont (38'), Kis (45' pen.), Sylvestr (67')
Ljubisavljevic (68'), Kis (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Manzinga (54')

Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Linfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK Zalgiris	Draw	Linfield
43.38%	23.68%	32.94%

Both teams to score 61.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84%

40.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47%

62.53%

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17%

18.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.73%

50.27%

Linfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03%

23.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79%

58.21%

Score Analysis

FK Zalgiris 43.38%

Linfield 32.94%

Draw 23.67%

FK Zalgiris	Draw	Linfield
2-1 @ 8.99% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 3.5% 4-1 @ 2.09% 4-2 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.45% Total : 43.38%	1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 7.69% 0-1 @ 6.45% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.94%