Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.
