Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.