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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park

Linfield
1 - 2
Zalgiris

Shields (66' pen.)
Shields (62'), Newberry (75'), Stewart (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Mikoliunas (17'), Onazi (44')
Kyeremeh (6'), Onazi (45'), Bopesu (63'), Karamarko (90+1')
Hadji Pape Djibril Diaw (64'), Uzela (89')
Coverage of the Champions League First Qualifying Round clash between Linfield and FK Zalgiris.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LinfieldDrawFK Zalgiris
40.88%23.09%36.03%
Both teams to score 64.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54%36.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.4%58.59%
Linfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51%49.49%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4%20.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86%53.14%
Score Analysis
    Linfield 40.88%
    FK Zalgiris 36.03%
    Draw 23.08%
LinfieldDrawFK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 8.58%
1-0 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 5.43%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 3.83%
3-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.05%
4-2 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.78%
0-0 @ 3.78%
3-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 8%
0-1 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.57%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.03%

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