Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: FK Zalgiris 2-0 Struga
Zalgiris are the much more experienced side in Europe, having managed to reach the third round of qualifying last season, comfortably managing to dispatch of Swedish side Malmo in the process.
The Lithuanian side's experience, coupled with Struga's recent dip in form, indicates that the hosts should be able to record a relatively straightforward victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 67.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Struga had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Struga win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result |
| FK Zalgiris | Draw | Struga |
67.64% ( 0) | 20.1% ( -0) | 12.25% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( -0.01) |
