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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion GKS-u

Rakow
1 - 0
Spartak Trnava

Kochergin (68')
Gutkovskis (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mikovic (23'), Curma (41'), Stefanik (47'), Savvidis (83'), Yusuf (90+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Rakow Czestochowa and Spartak Trnava.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-2 Rakow
Thursday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-2 Rakow
Thursday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.

Result
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSpartak Trnava
44.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 32.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 63.09% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)38.21% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.49% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)17.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)48.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.0020000000000095 0)23.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.5% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rakow Czestochowa 44.6%
    Spartak Trnava 32.18%
    Draw 23.21%
Rakow CzestochowaDrawSpartak Trnava
2-1 @ 9.04%
1-0 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.24%
3-1 @ 5.24%
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65%
4-0 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 44.6%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 5.97%
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.64%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-2 Rakow
Thursday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Astana 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, July 28 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rakow 5-0 Astana
Thursday, July 21 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 3-0 Rakow
Thursday, August 26 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rakow 1-0 Gent
Thursday, August 19 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 0-1 Rakow
Thursday, August 12 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-2 Rakow
Thursday, August 4 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Newtown 1-2 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 4-1 Newtown
Thursday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 12 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 0-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thursday, August 5 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sepsi 1-1 Spartak Trnava (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, July 29 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League


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