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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
0 - 4
RFS


Randall (19'), Gallagher (20'), Graham (25'), Ryan (31'), Lusty (41')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Deocleciano (38'), Lemajic (44'), Ikaunieks (45+3'), Diomande (56')
Fabrice Ondoa Ebogo (19'), Lemajic (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ballymena0nan
2Carrick0nan
3Cliftonville0nan
4Coleraine0nan
5Crusaders0nan
6Dungannon0nan
7Glenavon0nan
8Glentoran0nan
9Larne0nan
10Linfield0nan
11Loughgall0nan
12Portadown0nan

We said: Larne 1-1 Rigas Futbola Skola (RFS win 4-1 on aggregate)

Losing just two of their previous six home matches in European competition, Larne should be relatively confident of avoiding a repeat of the first leg. That being said, the chances of the Inver Reds progressing into the second round of qualifying are extremely slim, with RFS likely to extend their unbeaten run to 13 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Larne had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Larne win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawRigas Futbola Skola
29.37% (2.683 2.68) 23.79% (-0.124 -0.12) 46.83% (-2.561 -2.56)
Both teams to score 59.42% (2.517 2.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.63% (2.388 2.39)42.37% (-2.389 -2.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.22% (2.342 2.34)64.78% (-2.343 -2.34)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.72% (3.15 3.15)27.28% (-3.151 -3.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (3.917 3.92)62.71% (-3.919 -3.92)
Rigas Futbola Skola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)18.29% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.63% (-0.144 -0.14)49.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Larne 29.37%
    Rigas Futbola Skola 46.84%
    Draw 23.79%
LarneDrawRigas Futbola Skola
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.473 0.47)
1-0 @ 6.48% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.1% (0.449 0.45)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.375 0.38)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.268 0.27)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.37%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.386 0.39)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.551 -0.55)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.209 0.21)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-1 @ 8.48% (-0.961 -0.96)
0-2 @ 7.2% (-0.839 -0.84)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.08% (-0.486 -0.49)
2-3 @ 3.44% (0.21 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-4 @ 1.46% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 46.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Larne 5-0 Coleraine
Saturday, April 27 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-1 Larne
Monday, April 22 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-2 Larne
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 8-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, April 13 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-1 Crusaders
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: RFS 3-0 Larne
Wednesday, July 10 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sabah 2-1 RFS
Thursday, August 3 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 0-2 Sabah
Wednesday, July 26 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 4-1 Makedonija
Thursday, July 20 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Makedonija 0-1 RFS
Thursday, July 13 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: RFS 0-3 Fiorentina
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League


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