SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Fiorentina |
34.32% ( -0.11) | 28.81% | 36.86% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.35% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% ( -0.01) | 61.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( -0.01) | 81.15% ( 0.01) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.08) | 33.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.88% ( -0.09) | 70.11% ( 0.09) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( 0.06) | 31.81% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.74% ( 0.07) | 68.25% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.31% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.8% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.86% |
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