SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Larne |
35.5% ( 0.06) | 25.93% ( -0.07) | 38.57% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.29) | 49.91% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.1% ( 0.26) | 71.9% ( -0.26) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( 0.18) | 27.1% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.52% ( 0.23) | 62.48% ( -0.23) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.64% ( 0.14) | 25.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( 0.19) | 60.15% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.96% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.57% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
