SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rigas Futbola Skola win with a probability of 62.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Larne had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rigas Futbola Skola would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Larne |
62.43% ( -0.59) | 20.65% ( 0.17) | 16.92% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 53.7% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.74% ( -0.01) | 42.26% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( -0.02) | 64.67% ( 0.02) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.03% ( -0.18) | 12.97% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.54% ( -0.36) | 39.46% ( 0.36) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.7% ( 0.5) | 38.3% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.94% ( 0.48) | 75.06% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Larne |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 62.42% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.65% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.92% |
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