Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Malmo win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Malmo | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
34.8% | 25.01% | 40.19% |
Both teams to score 57.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.06% | 45.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.75% | 68.25% |
Malmo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.37% | 25.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.48% | 60.52% |
Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% | 22.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% | 56.42% |
Score Analysis |
Malmo | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
2-1 @ 8% 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.92% 0-0 @ 5.83% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.19% |
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