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Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 29, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Petrovsky Stadium
M

Zenit
4 - 0
Malmo

Claudinho (9'), Kuzyaev (49'), Sutormin (80'), Wendel (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rakip (30'), Brorsson (86')
Ahmedhodzic (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawMalmo
59.29%23.18%17.52%
Both teams to score 46.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1%51.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35%73.65%
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81%17.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54%47.46%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.69%43.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.45%79.55%
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 59.29%
    Malmo 17.52%
    Draw 23.18%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 13.1%
2-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 5.67%
4-0 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.37%
5-0 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 59.29%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.23%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 17.52%

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