SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Partizani Tirana | Draw | BATE Borisov |
40.07% ( -2.4) | 27.98% ( 0.47) | 31.95% ( 1.93) |
| Both teams to score 47.27% ( -0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -1.14) | 58.64% ( 1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.8% ( -0.89) | 79.19% ( 0.89) |
| Partizani Tirana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( -1.86) | 28.62% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( -2.38) | 64.43% ( 2.38) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.22% ( 0.81) | 33.78% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.56% ( 0.87) | 70.44% ( -0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partizani Tirana | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.33)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.38)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.18)Other @ 1.7% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.48)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 31.94% |
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