After the first leg produced a closely-fought contest, we expect more of the same in Tuesday's fixture, but after progressing from their last three first-round ties in Champions League qualifying, we think that BATE will edge out Partizani to squeeze through to the next stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Partizani Tirana had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.

Result
BATE Borisov	Draw	Partizani Tirana
39.68% ( 0.02)	27.57% ( -0)	32.76% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.06% (

0.01)

56.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.15% (

0.01)

77.84% (

-0.01)

BATE Borisov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.97% (

0.02)

28.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.32% (

0.02)

63.68% (

-0.02)

Partizani Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-0)

32.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.16% (

-0)

68.83% (

Score Analysis

BATE Borisov 39.67%

Partizani Tirana 32.76%

Draw 27.56%

BATE Borisov	Draw	Partizani Tirana
1-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.67%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.76%