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Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 14, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
FT

Ajax
2 - 1
FC Twente

Brobbey (59'), Bergwijn (81' pen.)
Sutalo (5'), Mannsverk (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 1-2 FC Twente

When Ajax have played Twente at home in the past, a home win has generally been regarded as a foregone conclusion. However, times have recently changed, and we expect the visitors to outclass and outfight their hosts for another victory in a strong campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFC Twente
46.04% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 22.56% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 31.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 65.16% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.66% (-0.126 -0.13)35.34% (0.129 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.63% (-0.142 -0.14)57.37% (0.143 0.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)15.88% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.9% (-0.107 -0.11)45.1% (0.109 0.11)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)22.54% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)56.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 46.04%
    FC Twente 31.4%
    Draw 22.56%
AjaxDrawFC Twente
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.94% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 9.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 7.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Feyenoord 6-0 Ajax
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, April 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Ajax
Sunday, March 31 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sparta 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, March 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Ajax
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Sittard
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-0 Sittard
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heracles
Sunday, March 31 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 1-0 FC Twente
Sunday, March 17 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Sparta
Saturday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 FC Twente
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie


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