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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2020 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
AM

Salzburg
0 - 2
Atletico


Ramalho (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hermoso (39'), Carrasco (86')
Simeone (42'), Hermoso (45+1'), Savic (61')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.31%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAtletico Madrid
35.72%27.96%36.31%
Both teams to score 47.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.89%58.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.23%78.77%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.03%30.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.73%67.26%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4%30.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17%66.83%
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 35.72%
    Atletico Madrid 36.3%
    Draw 27.96%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 3.01%
3-0 @ 2.54%
3-2 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 9.47%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 11.21%
1-2 @ 7.79%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 1.8%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.3%

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