Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.