Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.