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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol
3 - 1
Alashkert

Dulanto (15'), Luvannor (23'), Thill (87' pen.)
Castaneda (67'), Cristiano (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Glisic (10')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheriff Tiraspol would win this match.

Result
Sheriff TiraspolDrawAlashkert FC
46.62%24.55%28.83%
Both teams to score 56.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.86%46.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.56%68.44%
Sheriff Tiraspol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12%19.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48%52%
Alashkert FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59%
Score Analysis
    Sheriff Tiraspol 46.62%
    Alashkert FC 28.83%
    Draw 24.55%
Sheriff TiraspolDrawAlashkert FC
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9.35%
2-0 @ 7.67%
3-1 @ 5.03%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.62%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.16%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.83%

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