Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Alashkert FC had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Alashkert FC win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
