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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stadion Nairi

Alashkert
1 - 0
Connah's Quay

Bezecourt (113')
Glisic (45+5'), Kadio (53'), Aghekyan (93')
FT
(aet)

Insall (45+5'), Disney (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%).

Result
Alashkert FCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
40.55%25.84%33.6%
Both teams to score 54.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.85%
Alashkert FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.71%24.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.34%58.66%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77%28.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07%63.93%
Score Analysis
    Alashkert FC 40.55%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 33.6%
    Draw 25.84%
Alashkert FCDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.68%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 3.27%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 33.6%

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