SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
22.28% ( 0.02) | 26.43% ( 0) | 51.29% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.92% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.68% ( 0.01) | 58.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.06% ( 0) | 78.94% ( -0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.24% ( 0.03) | 41.76% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.77% ( 0.02) | 78.23% ( -0.02) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.01) | 22.87% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( -0.02) | 56.61% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.15% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 12.3% 0-0 @ 9.55% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 14.09% 0-2 @ 10.39% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.46% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.28% |
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