SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 63.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shamrock Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
63.23% ( -0.33) | 21.3% ( -0.06) | 15.47% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( 0.99) | 47.74% ( -0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( 0.9) | 69.93% ( -0.9) |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 0.22) | 14.46% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.57% ( 0.42) | 42.43% ( -0.42) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.53% ( 1.14) | 43.47% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.31% ( 0.93) | 79.68% ( -0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shamrock Rovers | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.3)2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.29% | 0-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.53% Total : 15.47% |
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