Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 9, 2024 at 7pm UK

Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
vs.
Decic

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between The New Saints and Decic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Connah's Quay
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Decic

Last Game: Decic 1-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 14 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Aberystwyth	0	nan
2	Bala Town	0	nan
3	Barry	0	nan
4	Briton Ferry	0	nan
5	Caernarfon	0	nan
6	Cardiff MU	0	nan
7	Connah's Quay	0	nan
8	Flint Town	0	nan
9	Haverfordwest	0	nan
10	Newtown	0	nan
11	Pen-y-Bont	0	nan
12	New Saints	0	nan

We say: The New Saints 1-0 Decic

With both sides set to play their first game of 2024-25, we think that Tuesday's contest could produce a cagey contest as the two teams look to ease themselves into the new campaign. However, we think that TNS could make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over a Decic side that has failed to win any of their previous four European outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw has a probability of 12.1% and a win for Decic has a probability of 6.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Decic win it is 1-2 (2.09%).

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Decic
81.22% ( -0.03)	12.1% ( 0.02)	6.67% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.48% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.49% (

-0.1)

29.51% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.4% (

-0.12)

50.6% (

0.12)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.51% (

-0.03)

5.49% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.57% (

-0.08)

21.42% (

0.07)

Decic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.35% (

-0.06)

47.64% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.05)

82.96% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 81.21%

Decic 6.67%

Draw 12.1%

The New Saints	Draw	Decic
2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.9% ( -0) 4-0 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 81.21%	1-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 12.1%	1-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 6.67%