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Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
3 - 0
Decic

Young (4', 28'), Davies (39')
Davies (81'), Roberts (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ujkaj (22'), Matic (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Connah's Quay
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Decic vs. New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Decic 1-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 14 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Next Game: Decic vs. New Saints
Tuesday, July 16 at 8pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberystwyth0nan
2Bala Town0nan
3Barry0nan
4Briton Ferry0nan
5Caernarfon0nan
6Cardiff MU0nan
7Connah's Quay0nan
8Flint Town0nan
9Haverfordwest0nan
10Newtown0nan
11Pen-y-Bont0nan
12New Saints0nan

We said: The New Saints 1-0 Decic

With both sides set to play their first game of 2024-25, we think that Tuesday's contest could produce a cagey contest as the two teams look to ease themselves into the new campaign. However, we think that TNS could make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow victory over a Decic side that has failed to win any of their previous four European outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.22%. A draw has a probability of 12.1% and a win for Decic has a probability of 6.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Decic win it is 1-2 (2.09%).

Result
The New SaintsDrawDecic
81.22% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 12.1% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 6.67% (-0.0329 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.48% (-0.267 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.49% (-0.214 -0.21)29.51% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.4% (-0.262 -0.26)50.6% (0.258 0.26)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.51% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)5.49% (0.037 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.57% (-0.111 -0.11)21.42% (0.109 0.11)
Decic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.35% (-0.262 -0.26)47.64% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.03% (-0.195 -0.2)82.96% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 81.21%
    Decic 6.67%
    Draw 12.1%
The New SaintsDrawDecic
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 10.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 7.73% (0.022 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 5.73% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
5-0 @ 4.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
5-1 @ 3.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.026 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 81.21%
1-1 @ 5.63% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 12.1%
1-2 @ 2.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 1.94% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 6.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: New Saints 2-0 Connah's Quay
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-5 New Saints
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-1 Bala Town
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 7-1 Caernarfon
Friday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 1-2 Airdrieonians
Sunday, March 24 at 4.15pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Newtown 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Decic 1-2 Dinamo Minsk
Thursday, July 14 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-1 Decic
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Decic 0-1 Drita
Thursday, July 15 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Drita 2-1 Decic
Thursday, July 8 at 7pm in Europa Conference League


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