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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 80.02%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.65%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
7.52% ( 0.08) | 12.46% ( 0.22) | 80.02% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.35% ( -0.89) | 27.65% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.7% ( -1.12) | 48.3% ( 1.12) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.06% ( -0.52) | 43.93% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.93% ( -0.43) | 80.07% ( 0.43) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.66% ( -0.22) | 5.33% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.03% ( -0.66) | 20.97% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.52% | 1-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 12.46% | 0-2 @ 10.06% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 9.84% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 8.09% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 7.21% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 5.93% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 4.23% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 3.48% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.08)0-6 @ 2.06% ( -0.07)1-6 @ 1.7% ( -0.08)2-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.07)Other @ 5.09% Total : 80.01% |
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