SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 81.44%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 7.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 3-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (2.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
81.44% ( 0.04) | 11.5% ( -0.03) | 7.07% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.89% ( 0.14) | 24.11% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.26% ( 0.18) | 43.74% ( -0.18) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.56% ( 0.03) | 4.44% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.74% ( 0.1) | 18.26% ( -0.09) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.88% ( 0.1) | 42.12% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.46% ( 0.09) | 78.54% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Bala Town |
| 3-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 8.14% ( 0)2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 7.33% ( -0)4-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.59% Total : 81.44% | 1-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0)0-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 11.5% | 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 7.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
